(Contact Info: larry at larryblakeley.com)
Important Note: You will need to click this icon to download the free needed to view most of the images on this Web site - just a couple of clicks and you're "good to go." For reasons why - go here.
A listing and access link to all:
song lyrics and mp3 audio files http://www.royblakeley.name/larry_blakeley/songs/ (all of which are a part of this Web site) can be accessed simply by selecting the "htm" file for the song you want;
quotations http://www.royblakeley.name/larry_blakeley/quotations.htm; and
essays written by Larry Blakeley http://www.royblakeley.name/larry_blakeley/articles/articles_larry_blakeley.htm,
all of which are used to tell the story in this Web site, can be accessed by going to each respective link set out above.
My son, Larry Blakeley http://www.royblakeley.name/larry_blakeley/larryblakeley_photos_jpeg.htm manages this Web site.
Major Roy James Blakeley (December 10, 1928 - July 22, 1965) - USAF (KIA)
When I was young my dad would say
Come on son let's go out and play
No matter how hard I try
No matter how many tears I cry
No matter how many years go by
I still can't say goodbye
- "I Still Can't Say Goodbye," Performer: Chet Atkins
MP3 audio file/lyrics http://www.royblakeley.name/larry_blakeley/songs/still_cant_say_goodbye.htm
For a larger image click on the photograph.
"We see globalization - growing interconnectedness reflected in the expanded flows of information, technology, capital, goods, services, and people throughout the world—as an overarching 'mega-trend,' a force so ubiquitous that it will substantially shape all the other major trends in the world of 2020.
The greatest benefits of globalization will accrue to countries and groups that can access and adopt new technologies.
The 2020 Global Landscape
Relative Certainties / Key Uncertainties
- Globalization largely irreversible, likely to become less Westernized. / Whether globalization will pull in lagging economies; degree to which Asian countries set new "rules of the game."
- World economy substantially larger. / Extent of gaps between "haves" and "have-nots"; backsliding by fragile democracies; managing or containing financial crises.
- Increasing number of global firms facilitate spread of new technologies. / Extent to which connectivity challenges governments.
- Rise of Asia and advent of possible new economic middle-weights. / Whether rise of China/India occurs smoothly.
- Aging populations in established powers. / Ability of EU and Japan to adapt work forces, welfare systems, and integrate migrant populations; whether EU becomes a superpower.
- Energy supplies "in the ground" sufficient to meet global demand. / Political instability in producer countries; supply disruptions.
- Growing power of nonstate actors. / Willingness and ability of states and international institutions to accommodate these actors.
- Political Islam remains a potent force. / Impact of religiosity on unity of states and potential for conflict; growth of jihadist ideology.
- Improved WMD capabilities of some states. / More or fewer nuclear powers; ability of terrorists to acquire biological, chemical, radiological, or nuclear weapons.
- Arc of instability spanning Middle East, Asia, Africa. / Precipitating events leading to overthrow of regimes.
- Great power conflict escalating into total war unlikely. / Ability to manage flashpoints and competition for resources.
- Environmental and ethical issues even more to the fore. / Extent to which new technologies create or resolve ethical dilemmas.
- US will remain single most powerful actor economically, technologically, militarily. / Whether other countries will more openly challenge Washington; whether US loses S&T edge.
At no time since the formation of the Western alliance system in 1949 have the shape and nature of international alignments been in such a state of flux. The end of the Cold War shifted the tectonic plates, but the repercussions from these momentous events are still unfolding. Emerging powers in Asia, retrenchment in Eurasia, a roiling Middle East, and transatlantic divisions are among the issues that have only come to a head in recent years. The very magnitude and speed of change resulting from a globalizing world - apart from its precise character - will be a defining feature of the world out to 2020. Other significant characteristics include: the rise of new powers, new challenges to governance, and a more pervasive sense of insecurity, including terrorism.
As we map the future, the prospects for increasing global prosperity and the limited likelihood of great power conflict provide an overall favorable environment for coping with what are otherwise daunting challenges. The role of the United States will be an important variable in how the world is shaped, influencing the path that states and nonstate actors choose to follow.
New Global Players
The likely emergence of China and India, as well as others, as new major global players - similar to the advent of a united Germany in the 19th century and a powerful United States in the early 20th century - will transform the geopolitical landscape, with impacts potentially as dramatic as those in the previous two centuries."
- "Mapping the Global Future: Report of the National Intelligence Council's 2020 Project," (Based on consultations with nongovernmental experts around the world) NIC 2004-13, National Intelligence Council http://www.cia.gov/nic/NIC_home.html, December 2004 http://www.cia.gov/nic/NIC_2020_project.html
File Name: 2020_project_200412.djvu (2.9 MB)
Post Date: January 24, 2005 at 8:30 AM CST; 1430 GMT
To obtain a copy of this publication, please contact:
Government Printing Office (GPO), Superintendent of Documents, PO Box 391954, Pittsburgh, PA 15250-7954; Phone: (202) 512-1800; Fax: (202) 512-2250; http:\\bookstore.gpo.gov;
GPO Stock 041-015-0024-6; ISBN 0-16-073-218-2.
The National Intelligence Council (NIC) is the Intelligence Community's (IC's) http://www.cia.gov/nic/NIC_about.html# center for midterm and long-term strategic thinking. Its primary functions are to:
* Support the DCI in his role as head of the Intelligence Community.
* Provide a focal point for policymakers to task the Intelligence Community to answer their questions.
* Reach out to nongovernment experts in academia and the private sector to broaden the Intelligence Community's perspective.
* Contribute to the Intelligence Community's effort to allocate its resources in response to policymakers' changing needs.
* Lead the Intelligence Community's effort to produce National Intelligence Estimates (NIEs) and other NIC products.